Analysts also predict a 74m 360 base.
Do analysts believe Kinect can do the business for Microsoft? Yes – by the end of 2014 they say Kinect will have sold 25 million units.
Another way of looking at that is one in three Xbox 360 owners will have bought Kinect by then, because they also believe the total console installed base will be 74 million.
That forecast was made to Eurogamer by Screen Digest analyst Piers Harding-Rolls, and his peer Colin Sebastian from Lazard Capital Markets reckons that makes sense.